3/18/2023 0 Comments Heavy metal machines gamedebate![]() There is a case for being less predictable and more relaxed. The current ritual of Russian move and NATO response gives the Kremlin the initiative it has learned what triggers a Western response and what it will be. But it should be understood too that Russia’s are essentially political moves and a military counter may well not be the best or only response.īe cool: Sometimes initiative is to be gained by inaction or restraint. Strengthening military defences is a necessity. NATO members may worry the mutual guarantee of Article 5 may not be firm, but in Moscow it is taken very seriously. There is no evidence of a Russian intent to initiate outright hostilities with NATO or other European states. Policy recommendationsīe smart: Distinguish between political and military moves. This requires a sharper sense on the part of the EU and its member states of what is a truly military move and what is political, a refusal to rise to the bait, and yet a display of convincing unity and cross-platform capacity when a response is required. ‘Heavy metal diplomacy’ is likely to continue for the immediate future. But they have nonetheless contributed to a fragmentation of unity within both NATO and the European Union. The actual impact of these policies is varied, sometimes counter-productive, and they depend on coordination with other means of diplomacy and influence. The main elements are threats of potential military action, wargames which pointedly simulate such operations, the deployment of combat units in ways which also convey a political message, and intrusions close to and into European airspace, waters and even territory. Since 2014, Russia has mounted an extensive, aggressive, and multi-platform attempt to use its military and the threat of force as instruments of coercive diplomacy, intended to divide, distract, and deter Europe from challenging Russia’s activities in its immediate neighbourhood.
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